Five Reasons to Believe

Ghiggia predicted the 5-0 scoreline
Ghiggia predicted the 5-0 scoreline

Ghiggia predicted the 5-0 scoreline between Uruguay and Jordan and now more than ever there is reason to believe.

Here are five reasons in pictures:

Mono Periera scored the first goal against Jordan
Mono Pereira scored the first goal against Jordan
Cristian Stuani scored the second against Jordan
Cristian Stuani scored the second against Jordan
Lodiero scored the third against Jordan
Lodeiro scored the third against Jordan
Cebolla scored the fourth against Jordan
Cebolla scored the fourth against Jordan
El Matador scored the fifth goal against Jordan
El Matador scored the fifth goal against Jordan

I urge all the Jordanian players, coaching staff, fans and journalists to come to Montevideo to celebrate with Uruguay. It’s going to be an experience you will never forget. Everyone will be partying like it’s 1950 again. You will be playing in the stadium where the first World Cup was held and playing in the country where the first World Cup was won by Uruguay.

Don’t worry about the result as it really doesn’t mean much considering all the world’s troubles. Football for Uruguay is something more than a game and helps people forget all the daily issues that they need to deal with, it’s an escape from reality and the passion will be there.

The stadium won’t be as intimidating as it usually is, sure the people will be passionate but it’s not like it would be if it was the first game. Now with a five goal start and considering they are five away goals which count as two, everyone will be very calm and enjoying it as a spectacle.

Jordan come and enjoy the food, music, beaches, port and make sure you visit the Museum of Futbol………

Advertisements

The Uruguayan Jordan handbook

Cebolla Gol
Cebolla Gol

Cristian Gabriel Rodriguez Barotti aka Cebolla (Onion) lived up to his nickname. He got his nickname during his Peñarol days for making the opposition cry. Cebolla recently turned 28 years old and is reaching the peak of his football career. Cristian is currently playing for Atletico Madrid and has come on as a sub on numerous occasions and has previously played in Portugal for Benfica and Porto.

During the last World Cup qualification campaign for 2010 Cebolla was involved in an incident in the final game against Argentina in Montevideo. When the game finished Cebolla and Argentine defender Gabriel Heinze were involved in an incident where it was alleged that Cebolla assaulted Gabriel and was suspended for 4 games. The four match suspension weighed heavily on not being selected for South Africa 2010. This would have been devastating for Cebolla who would have been an automatic selection for the World Cup.

You could feel and sense just what this game meant to Cebolla today,  his performance was outstanding and not only did he score the first goal but was instrumental in the midfield with powerful runs and a relentless attitude. Cebolla has waited 4 long years for this game and now Uruguay are just two games away from reaching the 2014 Brazil World Cup.

Golazo Cebolla
Golazo Cebolla

Uruguay have once again achieved the 5th position in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualification which means they go into a playoff against the fifth round winner of the AFC World Cup Qualification. Jordan beat Uzbekistan over two home and away legs on penalties 9-8 after the two 1-1 draws.

Jordan FA
Jordan FA

El Maestro has found the Uruguayan Jordan handbook with highly classified material. Jordan have never qualified for the World Cup, have appeared only twice in the Asian Cup reaching the quarter final stage. Jordan is two-time champion of the Pan-Arab Games, while hosting the West Asian Football Federation Championship and the Arab Nations Cup. Jordan are ranked 71 in the World with their highest ranking being 37 and their lowest ranking being 152.

Where's the Uruguayan Jordan handbook
Where’s the Uruguayan Jordan handbook

Jordan’s head coach is Hossam Hassan Hussein born in Cairo Egypt. The 47-year-old manager was a prolific goalscorer in his day and is Egypt’s all time scorer, scoring 68 goals in 176 appearances.

Talking about leading goal scorers, Uruguay also have their current leading goal scorer of all time still playing.  Luis Suarez is Uruguay’s all time leading goal scorer (39 Goals) and has also won the leading goal scorer of the 2014 CONMEBOL World Cup qualification (11 Goals). Luis Suarez edged out Lionel Messi by scoring a penalty today to put him 1 goal in front of Messi which is impressive considering Suarez was not always the penalty taker during the qualification rounds.

Suarez Leading goalscorer 2014 World Cup Qualification
Suarez Leading goalscorer 2014 World Cup Qualification

Congratulations to Argentina for winning the 2014 World Cup qualification tournament and qualifying to Brazil.

Congratulations to Colombia for reaching the World Cup Brazil after the frustration from the 2002 qualification where they ended up level on points with Uruguay (27 Points) but Uruguay had a +1 goal advantage qualifying in 5th spot and earning a playoff against Australia which Uruguay won 3-1 on aggregate to qualify for Korea/Japan 2002. Colombia also had the frustration of the 2006 World Cup qualification where they missed out by 1 point to see Uruguay secure 5th spot again and a playoff against Australia. This time Uruguay stayed with Colombia as Uruguay lost on penalties 4-2 after a 1-1 aggregate.

Congratulations to Chile for qualifying to Brazil in 3rd place.

Congratulations to Ecuador for qualifying to Brazil after the frustration of missing out on the 2010 World Cup by 1 point which secured Uruguay for a playoff against Costa Rica. Uruguay won on aggregate 2-1 to reach South Africa 2010 and come 4th in the tournament, Uruguay’s best result since 1970.

Congratulations to Uruguay for securing 5th spot when it really looked unlikely. Two games away from qualification to Brazil 2014 and because of the win today 3-2 over Argentina, Uruguay will be seeded in Pot 1 which is a fantastic achievement to maintain the FIFA ranking in the top 10 and keep all the Uruguayan’s suffering at the same time.

Gracias Cavani
Gracias Cavani

Uruguay vs Argentina “One of the Oldest”

Uruguay vs Argentina 1928 Olympic Final
Uruguay vs Argentina 1928 Olympic Final

Uruguay and Argentina have a unique football history which started in 1901 when they first played each other. The game was held in Montevideo and Argentina won 3-2 which was both countries first international. This result could have set a precedent for the future however it provided an opportunity to physically, tactically and technically find a way to beat Argentina when the important games came around.

In Uruguay’s history Argentina is very prevalent as we also played them in 1902 to receive our biggest loss in the history of the Uruguayan National team… we lost 6-0 in Montevideo.  Soon however the real games would be played between Uruguay and Argentina…

In 1916 the South American Championship (Copa America) were held in Argentina and was played as a round robin between; Uruguay, Argentina, Brazil and Chile. Uruguay beat Chile 4-0… Argentina beat Chile 6-1…. Uruguay beat Brazil 2-1….. Argentina drew with Brazil 1-1… This left the last game of the round robin between Uruguay and Argentina… The First Final as such. The rest of the story will provide a glimpse of what was going to be seen between two great rivals in international football.

The final was played at the Gimnasia and Esgrima Stadium in Buenos Aires and after only 5 minutes of play the game needed to be abandoned due to a riot within the spectators which then spilled onto the field and the wooden tribunes were torched and the match was ended as the stadium was on fire. The match was re-scheduled to Racing Club Stadium and the result was 0-0 which meant Uruguay were the first South American champions having beaten Brazil and Argentina only managing a draw. Uruguay had won it in Argentina.

This tournament also provided the first opportunity for Uruguay to show just how far ahead they were in relation to racism compared to other countries not only in the region but around the world. The first game that Uruguay played against Chile in the tournament ended with a Uruguayan win but also with an official complaint from Chile regarding Uruguay selecting “Coloured” players. Uruguay fielded Isabelino Gradin and Juan Delgado who were both coloured. The complaint was dismissed by the South American Football Association.

The next South American Championship were played in Uruguay in 1917 and was once again a round robin between Uruguay, Argentina, Brazil and Chile. Uruguay beat Chile 4-0… Argentina beat Chile 1-0… Uruguay beat Brazil 4-0… Argentina beat Brazil 4-2…. So once again we had a final between Uruguay and Argentina however this time a draw would not be enough for either team. Uruguay won 1-0 in Montevideo at the Parque Pereira to win the first two South American Championships. We then went on to beat Argentina in the final in 1920, 1923, 1924, 1926 and 1934. The only final they beat us in the 1920’s was in 1927.

The next time Uruguay was to meet Argentina in a final that wasn’t in the South American Championship was at the 1928 Olympics held in Amsterdam, Netherlands. Argentina defeated Egypt 6-0 and Uruguay beat Italy 3-2 in the Semi Finals. The final was a 1-1 draw between Uruguay and Argentina and a replay was scheduled 3 days later. The second final was won by Uruguay 2-1 over Argentina to be Gold Medal winners and as per FIFA’s announcement before the 1924 Olympic Tournament it would be classed as a World Championship and the winner of the tournament would be world champion. Uruguay won the 1924 and 1928 Olympic Tournaments and was declared World Champion in 1924 and 1928. Once again Uruguay was able to defeat Argentina in a final and be declared world champion and current South American Champion ahead of Argentina.

Then came the World Cup in 1930 and once again Uruguay were to meet Argentina in a final, a World Cup Final. The final was held in Montevideo and the result was Uruguay 4-2 in front of 93,000 fanatical fans. Uruguay were crowned first World Cup Winners of the Jules Rimet Trophy.

Jules Rimet Trophy
Jules Rimet Trophy

Now lets jump to the present. Uruguay has 15 South American Championships, one more than Argentina. Uruguay has two Gold medals in football and so has Argentina. Uruguay has two World Cups and so has Argentina. Argentina is ranked 2nd in the world and Uruguay is 7th in the world. In 2011 Uruguay once again was able to win the Copa America (South American Championship) in Argentina. The World Cup qualification head to head; 2004 Argentina 4-2 Uruguay…… 2005 Uruguay 1-0 Argentina…. 2008 Argentina 2-1 Uruguay…. 2009 Uruguay 0-1 Argentina….. 2012 Argentina 3-0 Uruguay…. 2013 Uruguay vs Argentina ????

What I can see is that Uruguay also gets the result they require depending on the game. I wouldn’t be too concerned about friendly internationals. I wouldn’t be too worried about the World Cup Qualifiers as the above results would show Argentinian superiority however we came 5th in 2005, 2009 and most likely in 2013. Uruguay have won 2 out of 3 play offs and now against Jordan Uruguay would be favourites and this could mean qualifying 3 out of 4 play offs. The objective is to reach the World Cup and then go on to win the World Cup.

Fray Bentos paper mill
Fray Bentos paper mill

The game on Wednesday (Australia time) will have the extra tension due to the recent paper mill dispute that has previously seen the bridge that links Uruguay and Argentina closed by Argentina. The Argentinian Government is not happy that the Uruguayan Government did not consult them over the 10% increase in production. The Argentinians believe that this will cause pollution to the water supply and wants the mill closed down. There had been an agreement in place the previous time (2006) that Argentina took the case to The Hague but the case was rejected by the International Criminal Court and now are not happy that Uruguay is increasing production.

The other interesting fact about the game against Argentina is in relation to the seeding at the World Cup. At the moment Uruguay and the Netherlands are battling for the final seed. If Uruguay beat Argentina they are automatically the last seed with no dependence on the Netherlands game. The Netherlands play Turkey and will be looking for a win to ensure their place as a seed and be allocated in pot 1. So far we have the following countries in pot 1: Brazil; Spain; Argentina; Germany; Italy; Colombia; Belgium. Being in Pot 1 will mean you get to avoid all those countries at the group stage. It’s definitely in Uruguay’s interest to beat Argentina and then go on and beat Jordan in the play off, qualifying for the World Cup and go into pot 1….

Uruguay vs Argentina

Top Secret

Uruguayan fans tomando mate'
Uruguayan fans tomando mate’

I have been preparing for the game against Ecuador and reading quite a few posts, especially the comments being made by the Ecuadorians. What seems to be the constant is the continuous comments stating that both Uruguay and Argentina get preferential treatment. I can understand the Ecuadorians believing this as their history is non existent.  Even when Ecuador do qualify for the World Cup they don’t do too much, they don’t do much at the Copa America, they don’t do much at La Copa Libertadores or the Copa Sudamerica.

If all their concerns were justifiable, then Uruguay would not have the results they have achieved at a world stage. What is very clear is that the altitude assists Ecuador but the question is what assists Uruguay?

Is it the fans?

Is it the stadium?

Is it the Garra Charrua?

Just what is Uruguay’s secret?

In this World Exclusive I divulge highly sensitive information which has been classified Top Secret by the AUF.

Yerba Mate’ as described in Wikipedia: Mate’ is served with a metal straw from a shared hollow calabash gourd and the straw is called a bombilla. Yerba mate leaves are dried, chopped, and ground into a powdery mixture called yerba.

Suarez tomando mate'
Suarez tomando mate’

 The Uruguayan’s and Argentinian’s were the best football teams in the 1920’s which was not too long after the British showed them the game. Sure the Brazilian’s, Paraguayan’s and Chilean’s also drink mate’ but the secret is not only in the drinking but the ritual that is performed. Below is an example of the ritual that the Uruguayan team perform on the pitch before the game:

Tota y Ruso tomando mate'
Tota y Ruso tomando mate’

Just why do we have the best strikers in the world?

Cavani tomando mate'
Cavani tomando mate’
Luis Suarez Drinking Mate'
Luis Suarez Drinking Mate’
Luis Suarez Best Player at the Copa America 2011
Luis Suarez Best Player at the Copa America 2011
Diego Forlan Best Player at the 2010 World Cup
Diego Forlan Best Player at the 2010 World Cup
Coates Best Young Player at the Copa America 2011
Coates Best Young Player at the Copa America 2011

Lets look at some players that are recognised as the best ever:

Maradona tomando mate'
Maradona tomando mate’
Messi tomando mate'
Messi tomando mate’

Now lets look at some more Mate’ drinkers: 

Pepe Mujica tomando mate'
Pepe Mujica tomando mate’
Pope tomando mate'
Pope tomando mate’
Che tomando mate'
Che tomando mate’
Einstein tomando mate'
Einstein tomando mate’

I know a lot of Uruguayan’s wont be happy with this information being released so close to the game. I just wanted to assure all the people in Ecuador that the result is not dependent on cheating, fixed referees, conspiracies or bribery of any kind. Uruguay have players that Ecuador could only dream of, players playing in the best leagues in the world. Uruguay can not only play at altitude but at sea level, our players have won awards from being the best player at a World Cup, best player at a Copa America, best young player at a Copa America to leading goal scorer in Italy and Spain. This is what Ecuador is playing against, even our coach has coached at the highest level. When was the last time a coach from Ecuador was in charge of AC Milan?

I’m not going to go into the traditional ritual that is performed by La Celeste, only to say that it’s going to be a hard game with chances for both sides. The difference could well be the altitude but I won’t complain too much about that. What I will say is that our Captain is ready to continue the tradition and is in charge of the ritual. He is the Captain and will lead the way with La Garra Charrua and sights on automatic qualification to Brazil.

Lugano tomando mate'
Lugano tomando mate’

The crazy one won’t be there but the spirit from all previous campaigns will.

Loco tomando mate'
Loco tomando mate’

It is with the people

Portable mate'
Portable mate’

and the spirit in the Shirt:

La Celeste
La Celeste

Flashback

A flashback, or involuntary recurrent memory, is a psychological phenomenon in which an individual has a sudden, usually powerful, re-experiencing of a past experience or elements of a past experience. These experiences can be happy, sad, exciting, or any other emotion one can consider. Brazil are hosting the 2014 World Cup and the closer we come to 2014, the more flashbacks that are occurring in Brazil. For those that don’t know, the last time that Brazil hosted the World Cup in 1950 they ended up losing the last game 2-1 to Uruguay. It was a different tournament to the modern format as four teams qualified for the last stage in which everyone played each other once.

The teams that qualified for the last stage were Uruguay, Brazil, Spain and Sweden. By the time the last game was to be played between Brazil and Uruguay, Brazil were on 4 points and Uruguay on 3 points. The results were Uruguay 2-2 Spain; Brazil 7-1 Sweden; Brazil 6-1 Spain; Uruguay 3-2 Sweden; Sweden 3-1 Spain (2 points for a win and 1 point for a draw). This meant that Brazil with only a draw would win the World Cup! Brazil lost 2-1 against Uruguay and Uruguay were the World Cup winners for a second time.

Psychologists all around Brazil have reported a jump in cases relating to flashbacks of intense sadness and fear attributed to that 1950 game at the Maracana Stadium. The fear is causing havoc in the preparations for the 2014 World Cup. Builders and tradesmen have fallen to the Flashback condition and have not been able to work as the fear has left some paralyzed. This has left the preparations for the World Cup in a dangerous situation where FIFA have had to step in and publicly criticize the 2014 World Cup committee. Seven out of the twelve stadiums are in serious trouble and might not be ready by 2014. Ricardo Teixeira (President of the CBF) has resigned from the 2014 World Cup committee stating health issues (Flashbacks?!!!).

There is also an issue with FIFA relating to the sale of alcohol in the stadiums, which at present is illegal in Brazil. FIFA has asked for a Government ruling to allow alcohol to be sold only for the World Cup month. The Brazilians are worried that with the current Flashback issue and the Brazilian fans drinking alcohol could lead to depression and despair if Brazil are to lose again on home soil.

Not many people are aware of the next fact but Brazil’s biggest defeat was 6-0 against Uruguay at Viña del Mar, Chile on the 18th of September 1920. Mano Menezes (Brazil NT Coach) will hope that the Flashbacks don’t begin and the fear starts settling into his DNA.

Will Mano make it to 2014?

Mano Menezes
Mano Menezes

Now lets look at the Brazilian World Cup preparations so far:

1-0 loss to France (February 9, 2011 Saint-Denis, France)

2-0 Win to Scotland (March 27, 2011 London, England)

0-0 Draw to Netherlands (June 4, 2011 Goiânia, Brazil)

1-0 Win to Romania (June 7, 2011 São Paulo, Brazil)

0-0 Draw to Venezuela (July 3, 2011 La Plata, Argentina)

2-2 Draw to Paraguay (July 9, 2011 Córdoba, Argentina)

4-2 Win to Ecuador (July 13, 2011 Córdoba, Argentina)

Lost 2-0 on Penalties after a 0-0 Draw to Paraguay (July 17, 2011 La Plata, Argentina)

3-2 Loss to Germany (August 10, 2011 Stuttgart, Germany)

1-0 Win to Ghana (September 5, 2011 London, England)

0-0 Draw to Argentina (September 14, 2011 Córdoba, Argentina)

2-0 Win to Argentina (September 28, 2011 Belém, Brazil)

1-0 Win to Costa Rica (October 7, 2011 San José, Costa Rica)

2-1 Win to Mexico (October 11, 2011 Torreón, Mexico)

2-0 Win to Gabon (November 10, 2011 Libreville, Gabon)

2-0 Win to Egypt (November 14, 2011 Doha, Qatar)

2-1 Win to Bosnia and Herzegovina (February 28, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland)

With the following friendly games for the rest of 2012

Denmark (22 May 26, 2012 Hamburg, Germany)

United States (May 30, 2012 Landover, United States)

Mexico (June 3, 2012 Arlington, United States)

Argentina (June 9, 2012 East Rutherford, United States)

Sweden (August 15, 2012 Solna, Sweden)

Japan (October 16 , 2012 Wroclaw , Poland)

Not much of a preparation so far and the results aren’t very convincing . In an effort to ensure that the Flashbacks continue to be an epidemic in Brazil and for Brazilians all around the world, I end this post with my Sienzuf Presents video.

Obrigado e até a próxima vez.

Rn = Ro + KG (W – We)

I guess the first question would be what does Rn = Ro + KG (W – We) mean?

The first thing it means is that Brazil has found a way to be above Uruguay in the men’s football rankings which is quite fitting since every time they play, their games are displayed on my TV schedule as “The Brazilian World Tour”! I guess because Brazil have five stars above their emblem on their shirt representing 5 World Cup Wins as well as hosting the 2014 World Cup they need anything they can get and they believe they are the Harlem Globetrotters!!

The ELO (not Electric Light Orchestra) World Football Rankings is a ranking system developed by a mad scientist I’m sure. The equation goes something like this: (make sure you have your scientific calculator handy)

Rn = Ro + KG (W – We) 

Rn = The new team rating
Ro = The old team rating
K = Weight index regarding the tournament of the match
G= A number from the index of goal differences
W= The result of the match
We = The expected result

There is another formula that could be used which is:

P = KG (W – We) 

P = Points changed
K = Weight index regarding the tournament of the match
G= A number from the index of goal differences
W= The result of the match
We = The expected result

World Football Elo Ratings
World Football ELO Rankings

Status of match

The status of the match is incorporated by the use of a weight constant.

  • World Cup Finals (60)
  • Continental and Intercontinental Tournaments (50)
  • World Cup and Continental Qualifiers and major Tournaments (40)
  • All other Tournaments (30)
  • Friendly Matches (20)

Number of goals

The number of goals is taken into account by use of a goal difference index. G is increased by half if a game is won by two goals, and if the game is won by three or more goals by a number decided through the appropriate calculation shown below;

If the game is a draw or is won by one goal

G = 1

If the game is won by two goals

G = \frac{3}{2}

If the game is won by three or more goals

  • Where N is the goal difference

G = \frac{11+N}{8}

Result of match

W is the result of the game (1 for a win, 0.5 for a draw, and 0 for a loss).

Expected result of match

We is the expected result (win expectancy with a draw counting as 0.5) from the following formula:

W_e = \frac{1}{10^{-dr/400} + 1}

where dr equals the difference in ratings plus 100 points for a team playing at home. So dr of 0 gives 0.5, of 120 gives 0.666 to the higher ranked team and 0.334 to the lower, and of 800 gives 0.99 to the higher ranked team and 0.01 to the lower.

United Kingdom in Denial

Sir Alex Ferguson

The England National football team is the joint oldest in the world; it was formed at the same time as the Scotland National football team. A representative match between England and Scotland was played on the 5th of March 1870, having been organised by the Football Association. Now I’m no expert when it comes to the United Kingdom and will focus mainly on some statistics which are quite interesting to me. 

I’ll start with Sir Alex Ferguson who was 12 years old in 1954 when Uruguay beat Scotland 7-0 at the World Cup which was the worst defeat by Scotland ever. Then there was the game on the 13th of June 1986 in Nezahualcoyotl, a suburb of Mexico City for the World Cup. Scotland needed to win to progress to the next round of 16 and Uruguay just needed a draw. Sir Alex was coach of Scotland and Uruguay had a reputation for being a physical team. The end result was 0-0 with Uruguay playing with 10 men after the quickest red card to date at any World Cup game, as it took the French referee Joel Quiniou 56 seconds to show the red card to Jose Batista (Uruguay).

The hot head Ferguson chewing gum, his face flushed with anger (or could have been the alcohol?), told reporters at the press conference after the game that the Uruguayan players were a disgrace to football (a word also used to attack Suarez 25 years later), and went even further with the phrase: “What else could be expected of players from that cursed nation !” However, Ferguson was not sanctioned by FIFA for that outburst. Is it possible for the Scot with a title awarded by the British Crown capable of such grievances against a whole nation?

For those that are too young to remember below is the footage of the 0-0 draw and another interview with some of the Scotland players. Gordon Strachan clearly states that Scotland were just not good enough!!!!

Sure you could say that Scotland have a small population of 5.2 million and that could easily explain why they have never got passed the first round in the World Cup and why they have never got passed the last 8 in the European Championship. Now look at Uruguay with a population of 3.2 million who have the following record; 2 Gold Medals at the Olympics; 2 World Cups; record 15 Copa Americas!

The United Kingdom are in crisis as England with only “One World Cup” to their name have just lost Fabio Capello as coach who had a 66.7% win rate, which no other coach in the history of the England Football National team can beat. (Not even Sir Alf Ramsey can beat Capello’s record).

Another Italian is in charge of the Republic of Ireland, who if not for a Henry handball nearly got them to the 2010 World Cup. Giovanni Trapattoni has a 42% win rate which is nothing to sneeze at. Not bad for a team that suffered it’s worst loss in it’s history in 1982 going down to Brazil 7-0.

I wont even discuss Wales who have only qualified for one world cup in 1958 and made it to the quarter finals and have never qualified for the European Championships. I also apologise in advance if I have left any countries out that should be included in the United Kingdom but I’m sure their record is dreadful anyway!!!

England now have a caretaker coach of Stuart Pearce who has started with a 0% win rate! The English FA is still to appoint a National Coach with the European Championships just around the corner. England will be facing France, Sweden and Ukraine; while the Republic of Ireland will be facing Spain, Italy and Croatia.

Scotland did not qualify for the European Championships and its no wonder why Sir Alex Ferguson in his rage would want to attack Luis Suarez, a football player from Uruguay. Just like the way he treated Diego Forlan, Sir Alex continues with his depression with his National Team of Scotland. Really it’s enough for anyone to start drinking!!!

El Maestro

11 Days: ¿ Just Who Can Score ?

  

Golazo
Golazo

Looking at the goal scorers for the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers, some interesting facts for the 5 South American World Cup Representatives. 

  • Chile took out the honour with 10 goals from Humberto Suazo.
  • 9 Goals from Brazil’s Luis Fabiano
  • 8 Goals from Bolivia’s Joaquin Botero (Bless the Altitude)
  • 7 Goals from Uruguay’s Diego Forlan
  • 6 Goals from a few players but I will only mention the player’s going to South Africa from here on: Argentina’s Lionel Messi
  • 5 Goals from Uruguay’s Sebastian Abreu and Luis Suarez; Brazil’s Kaka and Nilmar; Paraguay’s Nelson Valdez.
  • 4 Goals from Uruguay’s Diego Lugano and Carlos Bueno; Brazil’s Robinho; Chile’s Matias Fernandez

Now lets look at the assists: 

  • 5 assists from Uruguay’s Luis Suarez; Brazil’s Maicon; Chile’s Matias Fernandez
  • 4 assists from Uruguay’s Diego Forlan and Cristian Rodriguez; Argentina’s Lionel Messi; Chile’s Jorge Valdivia

Now we look at Yellow (Y) and Red Cards (R) 

  • Argentina’s Carlos Tevez 4 (Y) and 3 (R)
  • Argentina’s Javier Mascherano 7 (Y)
  • Uruguay’s Diego Perez 6 (Y) and Martin Caceres 4 (Y) and 1 (R)
  • Argentina’s Martin Demichelis 6 (Y)
  • Chile’s Alexis Sanches 4 (Y) and 1 (R)
  • Brazil’s Luis Fabiano 4 (Y) and 1 (R)
  • Paraguay’s Dario Veron 4 (Y) and 1 (R); Julio Caceres 6 (Y)
  • Uruguay’s Diego Lugano 5 (Y); Diego Godin 3 (Y) and 1 (R); Cristian Rodriguez 5 (Y) and 1 (R)

 When analysing this data it becomes obvious who the players are to look out for. Starting with Discipline, it becomes confusing as there are strikers getting yellow cards for goal celebrations. Most of the time when a striker scores they tend to take their shirt off to celebrate which incurs a yellow card for unsportsmanlike behaviour. It’s very hard to determine anything from this statistic without further examination.

I have left Cristian Rodriguez in the statistics even though he is not travelling to South Africa to highlight the fact that compared to some other players discipline record, his suspension was rather harsh to say the least. The rest is clear as far as Forlan, Suarez, Suazo, Messi and Fabiano are the danger men for South America.

Will a South American win the Golden Boot and win the Golden Cup?  

 
 

FIFA Golden Boot
FIFA Golden Boot

  
 
 
 
 

FIFA World Cup
FIFA World Cup

 

South America
South America

  

  

  

38 Days: What are the Odds?

 

Fortune Teller
Let me look into the Crystal Ball

 

It seems every where I turn there is someone predicting the teams that will qualify for the second round and how they will progress throughout the tournament. Everybody seems to be talking but nobody is putting their money where their mouths are. Then there is Sportsbet who are putting their money on the line, so lets analyse what they predict.

Group A

A1: France $2.00

A2: Mexico $4.33

A3: Uruguay $4.50

A4: South Africa $6.50

Group B

B1: Argentina $1.50

B2: Nigeria $5.00

B3: Greece $6.50

B4: South Korea $11.00

Group C

C1: England $1.33

C2: USA $5.00

C3: Slovenia $10.00

C4: Algeria $19.00

Group D

D1: Germany $1.73

D2: Serbia $4.50

D3: Ghana $5.50

D4: Australia $8.00

Group E

E1: Holland $1.67

E2: Cameroon $5.00

E3: Denmark $5.00

E4: Japan $8.00

Group F

F1: Italy $1.44

F2: Paraguay $4.00

F3: Slovakia $7.00

F4: New Zealand $26.00

Group G

G1: Brazil $1.67

G2: Ivory Coast $4.00

G3: Portugal $4.00

G4: North Korea $41.00

Group H

H1: Spain $1.33

H2: Chile $5.50

H3: Switzerland $8.00

H4: Honduras $17.00

Well now that we have all the Group Winners we can begin with the second round. There are some instances where the odds are the same for the Group Winners so you will see two countries vs one. This will not cause an issue as the rest of the tournament will be based on the odds of winning the World Cup.

Second Round

A1: France $15.00 vs B2: Nigeria $101.00

M1: France

B1: Argentina $8.50 vs A2: Mexico $81.00

M2: Argentina

C1: England $6.50 vs D2: Serbia $67.00

M3: England

D1: Germany $14.00 vs C2: USA $76.00

M4: Germany

E1: Holland $14.00 vs F2: Paraguay $67.00

M5: Holland

F1: Italy $14.00 vs E2: Cameroon $101.00 or Denmark $126.00

M6: Italy

G1: Brazil $6.00 vs H2: Chile $67.00

M7: Brazil

H1: Spain $5.00 vs G2: Ivory Coast $31.00 or Portugal $26.00

M8: Spain

Quarter Finals

M1: France $15.00 vs M3: England $6.50

QF1: England

M2: Argentina $8.50 vs M4: Germany $14.00

QF2: Argentina

M5: Holland $14.00 vs M7: Brazil $6.00

QF3: Brazil

M6: Italy $14.00 vs M8: Spain $5.00

QF4: Spain

Semi Finals

QF1: England $6.50 vs QF3: Brazil $6.00

SF1: Brazil

QF2: Argentina $8.50 vs QF4: Spain $5.00

SF2: Spain

World Cup Final

SF1: Brazil $6.00 vs SF2: Spain $5.00

2010 World Champions: Spain

What are the odds of a penalty shootout?

133 Days: Two Million Tickets Sold

 

Just received confirmation that South Africa has reached the two million tickets sold stage. The countries that have the most requests are the following:

USA (50,217), UK (41,529), Australia (15,523), Mexico (14,804), Germany (14,647), Brazil (10,767), Botswana (2,519), Mozambique (1,795), Namibia (1,191). Uruguay have 3 tickets sold so far and they are for Luis, Andres and Sienzuf.  😉

It’s getting closer and closer till we find out what tickets we get and the suspense is keeping me awake.

When I try to work out the amount of games and the size of the stadiums the whole thing just doesn’t add up. Tickets usually sell better if there is an idea of limited tickets. You hear people like Maradona trying to encourage people to buy tickets and then there are reports of over subscribed games.

The reports attempt to keep everyone confused and worried. Panic works a treat and it looks like the locals are feeling the pressure and buying tickets left, right and centre.

The next ticketing sales phase will start on 9 February 2010 and end on 7 April 2010. During these 58 days, more than 400,000 tickets will be made available on a first-come, first-served basis.

The hotline number for international customers is 0041445832010, and for domestic customers 0831232010.

144 Days “Brazil 2 del Mundo”

Brazil

Brazil are Team 2 with a FIFA ranking of 2 in the World. Brazil are the only team to have qualified for every single World Cup, winning the tournament on 5 occasions in 1958, 1962, 1970, 1994 and 2002.  Brazil have only won the Copa America on 8 occasions compared to Uruguay and Argentina who have both won it 14 times each.  

When you consider that Brazil have taken part in every World Cup their record doesn’t seem that impressive. The World Cup final in 1950 on Brazilian home soil that Uruguay ended up winning seemed to really upset the Brazilians and 8 years later they managed to win their first World Cup. After the Pele era it took Brazil 24 years to win a World Cup. The 1994 tournament ended with a penalty shootout which the Brazilians won over Italy. Not very Brazilian compared to their 1970 win over Italy 4-1. 

Considering everybody seems to think that Brazilian futbol is so entertaining, when you look at Brazil since 1994 they are just like any other team. Now with Dunga they are a boring European styled team just like in 1994, who plays a style that can not be classed in the “futbol bonito” category. Sure they get results and will be one of the favourites for this World Cup, however will they dazel the crowds like in eras gone by. Somehow I don’t think so.  

The Brazilian egos are so big I hope that South Africa has enough room for them with all their tantrums, crying, thanking Jesus, juggling balls while eating breakfast, complaining to the referees, diving, cheating, speaking portuguese which is technically “badly spoken Spanish”. 😉 and not to mention the sort of media attention they receive as they are heros for Continents like Africa and Asia. The media seems to live in the past as does Dunga who has reverted the team to the 1990’s. 

Brazil are in Group G with Korea DPR, The Ivory Coast and Portugal. They might meet Spain or Chile in the Second Round which are tough opponents especially after playing such an easy Group Stage. 

My Prediction: Semi Final (If the weathers not too cold) 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Brazilian Fan

   

160 Days “Uruguay 20 del Mundo”

Uruguay

I will keep this post short as I don’t want to sound bias as I was born in Montevideo, Uruguay.   

In the beginning there was a railway being built in Uruguay. The british arrived in Uruguay to assist in the building of this railway. During their time in Uruguay they would play two sports that the Uruguayans had never seen before. One was cricket and the other was football.    

Cricket took 5 days and the Uruguayans said; “Loco I have to wait 5 days before I can try to pick up chicks?” You crazy man, forget this game.   

Football on the other hand only took 90 minutes and even quicker if you played really fast. The Uruguayans said: “Loco I like this game but I have to go now cause some girls are waiting for me” 🙂   

The poms explained to the Uruguayans how to play the game and then they played a game. After the game the Uruguayans would sit together while drinking their mate’ and discuss the game of football and argue and talk and argue and talk some more, then argue some more. This would last for hours and they would continue it the next day.   

   

Finally the Uruguayans agreed that football would be the English style but the Uruguayans would play futbol instead. On September 28th 1891, Club Atlético Peñarol was founded. They were originally called Central Uruguay Railway Cricket Club to keep the poms happy.

FIFA has officially recognised Peñarol as the best team of the 20th Century. Peñarol’s record speaks for itself: 3 time Inter-Continental winners, 5 time Libertadores Champion, 1 Super Copa and played a less known team called nacional back in 1900 with Peñarol winning 2-0 which was the beginning of the end for nacional.    

Peñarol are regarded as the most successful team and the most supported team in Uruguay with 9 International trophies and winning 6 more Uruguayan titles and more classicos then nacional.   

   

With an understanding of the foundation of Uruguayan futbol I can now start on La Celeste. With futbol played in such majestic fashion,  the Uruguayan Olympic Futbol Squad were unbeatable in the 1920’s. The Uruguayans had developed their own style which would see them win 2 Gold Medals at consecutive Olympics in 1924 and 1928.   

   

FIFA were looking closely at Uruguay and decided to organise the First World Cup which would be hosted by Uruguay. Uruguay was the obvious choice playing sensational futbol and already two time Champions of the World as FIFA declared that the 1924 Olympics the first World Champion decider.   

Now back to South Africa, Uruguay is team 18 with a FIFA ranking of 20 in the World. Uruguays history:  10 Previous World Cup appearances with 2 World Cup Wins in 1930 and 1950. 4th in 1954 and 1970, Quarter Final in 1966, Round of 16 in 1986 and 1990. 14 time South American Champion.   

   

The first ever International played outside the United Kingdom and Ireland was between Uruguay and Argentina who have since played a record 161 times and the good news is that Argentina are improving.   

Not many teams that qualified for South Africa can claim to have the “pichichi” highest goal scorer in the Spanish League. Diego Forlan has won the pichichi twice and is a goal scoring machine. Uruguay were able to qualify for the World Cup playing badly so the potential is there. Uruguay don’t have to deal with all the issues when playing the South American Qualification Marathon, altitude, South American referees, stadiums falling down, artificial pitches.   

   

Uruguay are the only team in the world to win a World Cup with a population less then 4 million. The second country to win with a small population is Argentina with 40 million. The fact is that Uruguayans are better then any other country on a per player to population basis. Uruguay has players in every league in the world and even has a striker in the Eskimo league, his name is Walter Quefrio Quease.   

   

 Uruguay are in Group A with South Africa, Mexico and France. Uruguay have the players, has a coach, have the suffering fans, has the experience, has the history, has been there before, has had the preparation after 20 games to get to South Africa. Has been in every type of position you can be in.    

   

Uruguay are the most dramatic team in World Futbol, it wont be easy and there will be times when you will fear, you will doubt, you will pull whatever hair you have left from your head, you will start drinking, taking drugs, bashing people, hugging people, screaming, fainting, smashing holes in the wall, driving off a cliff, decide to take up diving, parachuting, bungy jumping, archery, get a gun license, take up painting, call your phyciatrist and his psychologist, take up a faith, become an atheist, look for the exit, see the light, call a friend, make a deal, start singing, start chanting, start dancing, drive around just honking your horn, attach flags to vehicles, some more drinking and eating and celebrating like it’s 1950.     

My Prediction: World Cup Winners, Champions of the World 🙂

    

   

               

 
 
 
 
 

Candombe Uruguayo